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Will Iceland win on 2025-10-13?

data as of 2025-10-13 20:20 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$7.0K−$45K$52K
Holders106+1492
Trades361+47314
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.7%
−25.1 pp
60.8%
Avg ROI-3.2%
−4.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+0.06×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.14
+0.20×
×0.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$210
−$1.1K
$1.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.05
0.61
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-14.6%
−20.9 pp
6.3%
Underwater %71.2%
+61.8 pp
9.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.6%
+43.4 pp
19.2%
Bot %49.7%
+31.8 pp
17.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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