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Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-25 05:48 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Aug 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
9¢
NO
91¢
YES
9¢
YesY-NNo
Position$30−$86$116
Holders7+25
Trades23+1112
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.0%
−29.7 pp
71.7%
Avg ROI14.7%
+12.0 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.03×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$10
$11
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
+2.5 pp
-2.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+70.6 pp
29.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
−29.4 pp
29.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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