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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 10:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$34K−$14K$49K
Holders455−33488
Trades5.8K−8626.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−3.0 pp
52.8%
Avg ROI-2.3%
−2.6 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.46
+20.93×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.73
+22.24×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$32.6K
−$3.1K
$35.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−201.0 pp
105.3%
Underwater %99.2%
+98.4 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.6%
−1.9 pp
84.5%
Bot %82.3%
−2.1 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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