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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

data as of 2025-09-30 06:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K+$11K$444
Holders11+47
Trades45+2025
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate91.7%
+30.1 pp
61.5%
Avg ROI-92.6%
−88.2 pp
-4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.25
+5.55×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.18
+5.38×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$47
−$104
$151
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.8%
−108.9 pp
25.1%
Underwater %99.6%
+86.4 pp
13.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.5%
−84.3 pp
86.8%
Bot %2.5%
−84.3 pp
86.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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