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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

data as of 2025-12-24 02:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$24K$45K
Holders248+62186
Trades2.4K+232.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.6%
−12.8 pp
54.4%
Avg ROI6.2%
+9.9 pp
-3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.23
+36.62×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×39.13
+38.52×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$583
−$13.0K
$13.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.06
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−153.8 pp
56.8%
Underwater %97.0%
+96.8 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.6%
−1.6 pp
44.3%
Bot %43.9%
−4.5 pp
48.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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