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Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

data as of 2026-03-20 08:46 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 2, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$244−$20K$20K
Holders90−21111
Trades1.2K+455752
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.5%
−11.4 pp
47.8%
Avg ROI30.1%
+29.8 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−0.49×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.43
+0.44×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$1.6K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.28
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-35.1%
−35.7 pp
0.7%
Underwater %35.1%
−15.2 pp
50.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.5%
−6.1 pp
44.6%
Bot %39.5%
−5.5 pp
44.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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