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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 21:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.8K−$22K$27K
Holders365−61426
Trades3.2K−6163.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.9%
−24.2 pp
61.2%
Avg ROI2.4%
+2.0 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.83
+13.07×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.81
+16.03×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.7K
−$14.2K
$19.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.06
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−121.9 pp
27.4%
Underwater %87.8%
+62.5 pp
25.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.0%
−13.6 pp
70.6%
Bot %54.5%
−11.3 pp
65.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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