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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 19:08 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$13K$7.0K
Holders312−33345
Trades2.3K−1412.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.3%
+3.0 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI0.0%
−4.3 pp
4.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−28.65×
×29.28
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−20.05×
×20.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.0K
+$8.5K
$6.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL51.3%
+147.3 pp
-96.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−90.2 pp
90.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
−0.9 pp
62.4%
Bot %70.9%
−3.0 pp
73.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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