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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 03:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.0K−$10K$16K
Holders267−38305
Trades1.6K−4552.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
+2.7 pp
46.0%
Avg ROI2.1%
+7.2 pp
-5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.74
+11.14×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.66
+11.07×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.1K
−$9.7K
$14.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.04
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.9%
−151.9 pp
61.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.1%
−5.5 pp
34.6%
Bot %43.2%
−2.5 pp
45.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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