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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-01-21 19:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$56K+$26K$31K
Holders295−113408
Trades7.0K−4637.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.3%
+7.6 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI-1.4%
−4.3 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.66
−15.01×
×15.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−15.92×
×16.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.1K
+$13.1K
$3.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.10
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.8%
+143.6 pp
-93.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.1%
+0.6 pp
78.5%
Bot %78.8%
+0.9 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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