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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 01:15 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$780$15K
Holders367−10377
Trades2.8K−352.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
+0.5 pp
48.9%
Avg ROI1.0%
−0.2 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.56
−15.77×
×16.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.56
−14.23×
×14.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.9K
+$443
$15.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.07
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL79.0%
+172.5 pp
-93.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.4 pp
98.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.6%
+10.3 pp
23.3%
Bot %53.6%
+11.5 pp
42.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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