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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2025-12-03 23:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.6K−$8.0K$17K
Holders97097
Trades1.9K−3862.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.6%
−10.9 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI0.6%
−4.4 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.51
+13.77×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.32
+14.60×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
−$4.3K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
+0.14
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.5%
−132.2 pp
38.7%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %88.3%
+17.1 pp
71.2%
Bot %88.8%
+16.6 pp
72.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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