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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET

data as of 2026-05-22 08:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.4K−$6.4K$13K
Holders112+3577
Trades1.5K−571.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
−1.6 pp
53.2%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.5 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.09
+15.54×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.26
+14.71×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$121
−$700
$821
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.04
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.4%
−171.7 pp
78.3%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
−12.1 pp
66.9%
Bot %63.8%
−13.6 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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