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Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?

data as of 2026-05-27 03:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$253−$4.6K$4.8K
Holders57−158
Trades359+167192
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.1%
−26.2 pp
71.3%
Avg ROI-7.4%
−1.5 pp
-5.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.00
+19.19×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.01
+16.15×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$64
−$840
$904
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−113.2 pp
19.0%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.2%
+3.8 pp
37.4%
Bot %41.8%
+4.4 pp
37.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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