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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-06-22 03:56 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.8K−$45K$48K
Holders267+24243
Trades1.4K−2171.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−13.0 pp
62.2%
Avg ROI-1.1%
−3.5 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.50
+4.56×
×0.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.28
+5.40×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
−$10.9K
$13.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.9%
−102.7 pp
14.8%
Underwater %90.4%
+78.2 pp
12.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.8%
−6.7 pp
45.5%
Bot %44.7%
−10.5 pp
55.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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