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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-02 13:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$24K$2.1K
Holders208−49257
Trades1.5K−3441.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.7%
+13.8 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI2.2%
−0.6 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.90
−6.62×
×7.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−8.13×
×9.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.6K
+$8.5K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.6%
+106.6 pp
-89.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.7%
+7.1 pp
65.6%
Bot %75.8%
+7.1 pp
68.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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